Situational Report

SITREP — 14 September 2026

15 Sep 2026   /   Jamal Abdelsamad

IRAN / HORMUZ

  • Iran said Saudi Arabia was behind Oman’s postponement of the Salalah meeting. Riyadh had objected to proposed amendments to the Iran–Oman corridor arrangement and Bahrain declined to attend. No new date set. Tehran says it will pursue the bilateral Oman deal regardless.
  • Two officials briefed on the matter said repairs to the East-West pipeline will take three to five weeks, leaving it mostly out of service. It had been moving roughly 5m bpd of rerouted crude to Yanbu.
  • Trump said the US is open to the “concept” of negotiating a deal with Iran. Tehran denied any nuclear activity at Pickaxe Mountain.
  • The NYT reported the 6–7 July attacks on three vessels — which collapsed the June memorandum — were carried out by hardliners without authorisation from Pezeshkian, the IRGC commander or the SNSC, with Iranian investigations pointing to Hossein Taeb.

YEMEN

  • Houthis seized Greater and Lesser Hanish, consolidating control of the Bab al-Mandeb approaches after taking Mocha and Perim.
  • They claimed a large ballistic missile and drone barrage on King Khalid Air Base at Khamis Mushait, targeting hangars, radar and ammunition depots, with sirens in Abha. No Saudi confirmation.
  • Houthis reported 54 Saudi airstrikes in 24 hours. China said it is deeply concerned about the attacks on shipping.

UKRAINE–RUSSIA

  • Ukrainian drones hit Sochi overnight, with explosions and fires reported around the city; Ukraine also struck energy infrastructure in occupied Mariupol.
  • Tusk warned of “very intensive” Russian action in the coming months after drones struck a gas station near the Yahodyn-Dorohusk crossing and the Kyiv–Warsaw train two kilometres from the Polish border.
  • Peskov said Russia has dropped its restraint on target selection in response to Ukrainian strikes on Russian economic infrastructure.
  • Canada is seeking to join the EU support loan to Ukraine, to be finalised before the late-October Montreal summit.