Situational Report

SITREP — 28 September 2026

29 Sep 2026   /   Jamal A.

IRAN / HORMUZ

  • Eight US Marines were injured in an Iranian attack on a ship in the strait, a US official said. The Pentagon has added 29 sailors and eight Marines to its war-wounded list, bringing the total to 861 since 28 February, with at least 19 deaths.
  • CENTCOM said Iran does not control the strait and called the Iranian claim of seizing a second American underwater drone desperate.
  • Araghchi said Iran is ready for a “doomsday war” and will meet mediators in New York. Trump said US officials met the mediators and that the US will win “one way or the other.” Washington is pushing to put the nuclear issue back into the talks.
  • Regional exports through the strait rebounded to 12.8m bpd in September, the highest of the war.
  • Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline is operational again, per Bloomberg.

YEMEN

  • Government spokesman Col. Majed al-Nazili said forces launched over 350 strikes on Houthi command centres, weapons depots, artillery positions and vehicles.

ETHIOPIA

  • Federal forces and allied militia captured Alamata, south of Mekelle, and regained ground around Sekota in Wag Hamra, reversing part of last week’s opposition offensive.
  • The TPLF advanced toward Afdeera in Afar after taking Erebti, with at least 150,000 feared displaced in Afar. The push threatens the Semera-Djibouti corridor, which carries almost all Ethiopian trade.

UKRAINE–RUSSIA

  • Russian strikes across Ukraine killed seven and injured more than 50. Jet-powered Geran-5 drones hit central Kyiv for over two hours from 09:00, striking data centres, offices, residences and the National Academy of Sciences.
  • Russia struck targets in 13 regions with 165 strike UAVs, per Ukraine’s air force, including fuel infrastructure and Vasylkiv military airfield in Kyiv region and a logistics centre and dry cargo ship in Odesa region.
  • A Russian drone struck near the Ukraine-Poland border crossing in Volyn.