Situational Report

SITREP — 30 September 2026

01 Oct 2026   /   Jamal A.

IRAN / HORMUZ

  • Iran received a full US counterproposal to its seven-day ceasefire and phased Hormuz reopening plan via Qatari mediators, and is considering it.
  • Rubio told the Iranian delegation to leave the US a day early.
  • UKMTO reported three tankers hit in the strait Tuesday.
  • New State Department sanctions on Iranian military procurement networks.
  • Trump: “We blow them up or make a deal,” claiming total US control of the strait.
  • The rial hit a record low past 2.5m to the dollar.

YEMEN

  • 145,000 displaced in September; health system at breaking point.
  • Taiz market strike toll stands at about 30 fighters and eight civilians, per Houthi sources.
  • No new Houthi fire on Saudi Arabia reported.

ETHIOPIA

  • Local sources reported 11 killed and 15 wounded in an attack on a market in Alamata, taken by federal forces Monday. Artillery strikes reported across Tigray, communications still cut.
  • New fighting around Yallo in Afar. Tigrayan forces hold Erebti; around 150,000 displaced in Afar.
  • Qatar and the UAE backed the federal government, condemning the TPLF airport seizures.

UKRAINE–RUSSIA

  • Strikes on Kyiv and surrounding region killed five, including a child, hitting the power grid and a key internet exchange point. Emergency power cuts ordered in Kyiv.
  • NATO scrambled aircraft over Poland and Romania during the attack.
  • Russia has fired over 3,000 jet-powered drones at Ukraine this month.
  • Ukraine destroyed a drone depot at Hranitne in Donetsk Oblast plus a command post and logistics sites.
  • Russia confirmed a record 2027 military budget.